Sep. 11, 2025 Option Outlook
PPI boom!
Good Morning! After a PPI boost, markets continued a march upward of .4%.
I was shocked that PPI had no inflation initially, but then looking at the details, it seems like we need to take the average of the past two months to get an accurate 2 month trend. It seemed more like timing than anything else. Regardless, the positive vanna pushed markets up to 6550 where they rejected. This is what I expected, and for now, I don’t expect a push past 6550.
CPI just came out as I was writing, and it appears it is in line with expectations and still elevated. I think markets are pricing in too many cuts over the next few months, but that’s not for me to determine. Going into expiration, 6550 will be quite difficult to pass.
No charts no YouTube this week
I find your information helpful but days like this I struggle. At what point do you determine we aren't "peaking" over resistance and it is firmly broken? I have still had no luck getting into your Discord after multiple attempts at communication about this issue so I don't know how to use your system without more guidance. I would be interested in Volland but I would be afraid I wouldn't know how to interpret the results and would be left on my own trying to figure it out without the Discord access.